2021 NFL Draft Odds – Player Draft Position Over/Unders and Odds to Be 1st Player Taken at Each Position

  • The NFL Draft takes place this week starting with the First Round on Thursday (April 29th, 8 pm ET)
  • Both Cincinnati, who pick fifth, and Miami, who own the sixth selection, need offensive line help and Penei Sewell could solve that problem in a hurry
  • Read below for odds, analysis, and Draft props to target

It’s been nearly three months since the NFL hosted an event for bettors to wager on, but at long last the wait is over. The 2021 NFL Draft beings on Thursday (April 29th, 8 pm ET) with the First Round, and there is no shortage of ways to get action down.

The most popular ways to do so will be by betting the over/under on players’ draft position, as well as wagering on the first running back | wide receiver | offensive lineman | safety | defensive lineman | cornerback | linebacker | non quarterback | defensive player | and special teams player off the board.

There’s plenty of value to be found, so check out all the odds below plus a bet in every category to target.

Player Draft Position Over/Unders

Player Over Odds Under Odds
Mac Jones 3.5 (+205) 3.5 (-260)
Kyle Pitts 5.5 (+125) 5.5 (-159)
Ja’Marr Chase 5.5 (+133) 5.5 (-167)
Trey Lance 5.5 (-159) 5.5 (+125)
Penei Sewell 6.5 (-112) 6.5 (-112)
 Rashawn Slater 9.5 (-112) 9.5 (-112)
 Jaylen Waddle 10.5 (-112) 10.5 (-112)
Patrick Surtain II 10.5 (+125) 10.5 (-159)
 DeVonta Smith 11.5 (-143) 11.5 (+115)
Jaycee Horn 12.5 (-112) 12.5 (-112)
 Micah Parsons 13.5 (-103) 13.5 (-122)
 Christian Darrisaw 15.5 (-112) 15.5 (-112)
 Alijah Vera-Tucker 15.5 (-112) 15.5 (-112)
Kwity Paye 16.5 (-125) 16.5 (+100)
 Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah 19.5 (-112) 19.5 (-112)
Caleb Farley 21.5 (-130) 21.5 (+105)
 Jaelan Phillips 21.5 (-112) 21.5 (-112)
 Teven Jenkins 24.5 (-107) 24.5 (-120)
 Greg Newsome III 24.5 (-112) 24.5 (-112)
 Najee Harris 25.5 (-125) 25.5 (+100)
 Zaven Collins 25.5 (-112) 25.5 (-112)
 Azeez Ojulari 25.5 (-112) 25.5 (-112)
 Trevon Moehrig-Woodard 26.5 (-112) 26.5 (-112)
 Jamin Davis 26.5 (-112) 26.5 (-112)
 Rashod Bateman 27.5 (-112) 27.5 (-112)
Travis Etienne 31.5 (-112) 31.5 (-112)
Kadarius Toney 31.5 (-112) 31.5 (-112)
Landon Dickerson 36.5 (-112) 36.5 (-112)
Asante Samuel 37.5 (-112) 37.5 (-112)
Javonte Williams 42.5 (-112) 42.5 (-112)
Eric Stokes 45.5 (-112) 45.5 (-112)
Jevon Holland 49.5 (-112) 49.5 (-112)
Barron Browning 55.5 (-112) 55.5 (-112)
 Davis Mills 68.5 (+114) 68.5 (-138)
 Kellen Mond 75.5 (-110) 75.5 (-110)
 Jamie Newman 164.5 (-110) 164.5 (-110)
 Ian Book 207.5 (-110) 207.5 (-110)

All odds taken April 26th from DraftKings and FanDuel .

Sewell Won’t Last Past No. 6

There’s no draft position over/unders currently available for Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson, the heavy favorites to go first and second overall, but every other player likely to go in the first round has NFL Draft odds. One player’s over/under to target is Oregon tackle Penei Sewell.

Most mock drafts have Sewell going to Cincinnati at number five, and it’s not hard to figure out why. Sewell is a generational talent with rare athleticism for an offensive lineman. The Bengals desperately need to improve an o-line that ranked 27th in pass blocking and allowed franchise QB Joe Burrow to be sacked 32 times in just 10 games. The Bengals could go receiver instead, and look for line help later on, but it’s much easier to find a difference making wide receiver in the later rounds than it is an offensive lineman.

Even if Cincy does pass on Sewell at pick 5, Miami would be wise to snatch him up with the sixth selection. No Dolphins offensive lineman had a PFF grade north of 66, while they already addressed their receiver need by signing Will Fuller. To add fuel to that fire, Miami just traded away starter Ereck Flowers to Washington, creating an opening on their offensive line.

Pick: Penei Sewell Under 6.5 (-112)

Fade DeVonta Smith

One player who has seen his stock fall recently is Heisman Trophy Winner DeVonta Smith. The Alabama wideout’s weight has been a hot topic of discussion lately, after he weighed in at 166 pounds at the medical combine earlier this month.

No one is questioning Smith’s talent, however when was the last time you saw a 166-pound receiver dominate in the NFL? Plenty of teams are reportedly worried that he’ll get pushed around at the pro-level, and the opportunity cost might be too high for a team to draft him with a top-11 pick.

Also working against him is the fact that both Dallas and New York, who own picks 10 and 11, appear set at wide receiver, while his teammate Jaylen Waddle and LSU’s Ja’Marr chase are considered safer prospects.

Pick: DeVonta Smith Over 11.5 (-143)

Odds to Be First Running Back Drafted

Player Odds
Najee Harris -167
Travis Etienne +150
Javonte Williams +500
Trey Sermon +4000
Chuba Hubbard +5000
Michael Carter +5000
Kenneth Gainwell +5000
Kylin Hill +10000
Jaret Patterson +10000

There’s only been one running back selected in the First Round in each of the past two Drafts, but this year there’s a chance two could go on Day 1.

The two RB’s with Round 1 grades are Najee Harris and Travis Etienne, and while Harris is the favorite, don’t sleep on the former Clemson star. Etienne is the more explosive back, in the same mold as Alvin Kamara, and is a stud in the passing game.

He scored 70 times for the Tigers in four seasons, and his 102 career receptions make him perfectly suited to step in right away as a 3-down back.

Pick: Travis Etienne (+150)

Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Drafted

Player Odds
Ja’Marr Chase -1000
Jaylen Waddle +700
De’Vonta Smith +900
Rashod Bateman +5000
Kadarius Toney +6000
Terrace Marshall Jr. +6600
Rondale Moore +8000
Tutu Atwell +15000
Elijah Moore +15000
 Amon-Ra St. Brown +25000
 Tylan Wallace +25000
 Nico Collins +25000
 D’Wayne Eskridge +25000

There’s no debate on who will be the first wideout off the board. LSU’s Ja’Marr Chase was ridiculously productive at the collegiate level and is one of the better receiving prospects to enter the Draft in the last few years.

Chase dominated quality future NFL corners in the SEC, and racked up 2,093 receiving yards and 23 TD in just 24 games. He has 4.38 speed and elite ball skills that were on display every game during the Tigers’ National Championship season.

Let’s not overthink this one.

Pick: Ja’Marr Chase (-1000)

Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Drafted

Player Odds
Penei Sewell -560
Rashawn Slater +250
Christian Darrisaw +3300
Alijah Vera-Tucker +3300
Teven Jenkins +5000
Landon Dickerson +10000
Sam Cosmi +15000
Alex Leatherwood +15000
Jaylen Mayfield +15000
 Liam Eichenberg +15000
 Creed Humphrey +15000
Dillon Radunz +15000
Quinn Meinerz +25000

Much like the receiver category, there’s little doubt who the first offensive lineman to be selected will be. As detailed above, Sewell is an athletic freak and isn’t likely to make it past pick six.

Rashawn Slater is another name that could sneak into the top-10, but doesn’t possess the same type of ceiling as Sewell and is almost two full years older.

Pick: Penei Sewell (-560)

Odds to Be First Safety Drafted

Player Odds
Trevon Moehrig-Woodard -400
Jevon Holland +400
Richie Grant +500
Caden Sterns +3300
Andre Cisco +4000
Hamsah Nasirildeen +5000
Paris Ford +12500
Joshuah Bledsoe +15000

Safety is not a deep position in this year’s Draft, and there’s a strong possibility no player from that position is taken on Day 1. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard is the highest ranked safety on the board, but after him the talent drops off a cliff.

The TCU product racked up six picks, 109 tackles and 20 pass break-ups over the last two seasons, while earning All-Big 12 honors. He might be the only safety taken in the first two rounds.

Pick: Trevon Moehrig-Woodard (-400)

Odds to Be First Defensive Lineman Drafted

Player Odds
Jaelan Phillips +100
Kwity Paye +125
Christian Barmore +400
Gregory Rousseau +800
Jayson Oweh +3300
Levi Onwuzurike +4000
Joe Tryon +5000
Ronnie Perkins +6600

Defensive lineman is a fascinating position this year, as no player stands heads and shoulders above the rest. Jaelan Phillips is favored to be the first d-lineman taken, which is odd since Kwity Paye has a higher draft position prop.

Paye’s career stats at Michigan won’t blow anyone away, but scouts reportedly believe his traits can make him an elite pass rusher.

Phillips is perhaps the better raw talent, but his injury and concussion history present enough red flags to push him further down the draft board.

Pick: Kwity Paye (+125)

Odds to Be First Cornerback Drafted

Player Odds
 Patrick Surtain II -305
Jaycee Horn +175
 Caleb Farley +2000
 Greg Newsome II +3300
 Asante Samuel Jr. +6600
 Eric Stokes +10000
 Aaron Robinson +15000
 Kelvin Joseph +15000
 Ifeatu Melifonwu +15000

This is another slam dunk, as Patrick Surtain II has a great chance to be taken in the top-10. The Alabama product was a 5-star recruit out of high school and a lockdown, press corner for the Crimson Tide.

Surtain is the son of a former NFL’er, and has the length and quickness to excel at the pro level. He earned Pro Football Focus’ highest DB grade since 2014, and is rumoured to be Dallas’ top choice if he’s still around at pick 10.

Pick: Patrick Surtain II (-305)

Odds to Be First Linebacker Drafted

Player Odds
Micah Parsons -305
Azeez Ojulari +400
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah +500
Jamin Davis +1000
 Zaven Collins +1200
Joseph Ossai +4000
Nick Bolton +5000
Baron Browning +15000
Jabril Cox +15000

Micah Parson appeared to a lock to be the first linebacker off the board, and although he’s still the heavy favorite, character issues have lengthened his odds a shade.

The Penn State product is one of the most athletically gifted players in the draft, and while the off-field allegations are very troubling, just google them, NFL teams aren’t ultimately going to be able to pass on his talent.

Parsons has every tool needed to be great at the next level, and tested in the 96th percentile among all linebacker prospects since 1987.

Pick: Micah Parsons (-305)

Odds to Be First Non QB Drafted

Player Odds
Kyle Pitts -150
Ja’Marr Chase +250
Penei Sewell +500
Rashawn Slater +1200
Patrick Surtain II +2000
Micah Parsons +3300
Jaylen Waddle +4000
DeVonta Smith +5000
Jaycee Horn +6600
Kwity Paye +6600
Jaelan Phillips +6600
Caleb Farley +10000
Gregory Rousseau +10000
Travis Etienne +15000
Najee Harris +15000
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah +15000
Alijah Vera-Tucker +15000

Kyle Pitts is a unicorn. He’s arguably the most talented skill position player in the Draft and is set to be the highest tight end drafted since Mike Ditka.

Pitts is going to create matchup nightmares in the pros, because he’s too big for corners to defend and too fast for safeties and linebackers.

He’s the logical selection at pick number four for Atlanta, unless you believe the Falcons will take a QB. If that’s the case, Sewell at +500 offers value, since o-line needy Cincinnati picks fifth, but Pitts is the most likely choice in this category.

Pick: Kyle Pitts (-150)

Odds to Be First Defensive Player Drafted

Player Odds
Patrick Surtain II -125
Jaycee Horn +350
Micah Parsons +400
Jaelan Phillips +800
Kwity Paye +1000
Caleb Farley +3300
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah +3300
Gregory Rousseau +3300
Azeez Ojulari +4000
Jamin Davis +5000
Trevon Moehrig-Woodard +5000
Christian Barmore +6600
Greg Newsome II +8000
Jayson Oweh +15000

Surtain is not only the top corner on the board, but he’s also the favorite to be the first defensive player selected. You could make the argument for Parsons, but Surtain is a much safer bet.

Both Detroit at pick 7 and Carolina at pick 8 are possible landing spots for Surtain, and there’s little chance Dallas passes on him with their gaping hole in the secondary.

Parsons ceiling meanwhile, is likely pick 9 to Denver according to most industry experts, but Denver’s pressing need for a QB will likely prevent that from happening.

Pick: Patrick Surtain II (-125)

Odds to Be First Special Teams Player Drafted

Player Odds
Max Duffy +200
Evan McPherson +200
Jose Borregales +300
James Smith +400
Thomas Fletcher +2000
Drue Chrisman +2500
Pressley Harvin +2500
Riley Patterson +2500
Turner Bernard +3300

Max Duffy and Evan McPherson are the co-favorites, but there’s plenty of reasons to like Jose Borregales. The Miami native transferred to the Hurricanes after three impressive seasons at FIU, and was 20-of-22 on field goal attempts in 2020. He was 6-of-8 from beyond 50 yards at the collegiate level, and booted a 57-yarder for the Hurricanes last season.

The post 2021 NFL Draft Odds – Player Draft Position Over/Unders and Odds to Be 1st Player Taken at Each Position appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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