- There are NFL Draft props on offer asking for the exact position of the first player chosen for each of the 32 teams
- Another prop asks whether a team will select an offensive or defensive player with their first selection
- The NFL Draft gets underway at 8:00 pm ET on Thursday, April 29th
Is it getting drafty around here? Why yes it is.
Time is fast running out for mocking of the NFL Draft. Soon, the picks will be made and the mysteries will be solved. Thursday, April 29th, draft day, is upon us.
That doesn’t mean that there isn’t still some money to be made via NFL Draft prop wagering. There are props asking the exact positon of the first player chosen by each of the league’s member teams.
That wager can even be simplified through another prop that requires bettors to select which side of the ball a team’s first selection will be playing, offense or defense.
The first three selections of the 2021 NFL Draft are virtually a given in the NFL Draft odds. The Jacksonville Jaguars will select Clemson Tigers quarterback Trevor Lawrence. In the second slot, the New York Jets will tab BYU QB Zach Wilson. Then the San Francisco 49ers will also select a QB at #3, the only question being which one will they take?
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Due to the certainty of these picks, the wagers in both of these props for these three teams relate to the second player they draft.
The first round of the NFL Draft gets underway at 8:00 pm ET. Tune in to ESPN to watch all the selections.
All odds are courtesy DraftKings.
Odds on Exact Postion of First Player Drafted by Every NFL Team
|Team||Cornerback||Defensive Lineman||Linebacker||Offensive Lineman||Quarterback||Running Back||Safety||Tight End||Wide Receiver|
|Green Bay Packers||+400||+700||+700||+250||+10000||+4000||+1800||+3300||+150|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+400||+500||+500||+350||+5000||+3300||+1600||+1600||+200|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+700||+450||+225||+180||+1000||+5000||+1000||+5000||+1600|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+400||+1000||+1400||-182||+10000||+5000||+2500||+4000||+550|
|Los Angeles Rams||+450||+500||+450||+220||+3300||+1600||+1100||+900||+600|
|New England Patriots||+600||+1200||+300||+1400||+125||+5000||+2500||+8000||+400|
|New Orleans Saints||+200||+350||+600||+1000||+1000||+3300||+1000||+3300||+350|
|New York Giants||+500||+400||+500||+300||+5000||+8000||+5000||+2500||+160|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+600||+200||+600||+450||+2200||+550||+900||+3300||+700|
|Washington Football Team||+1200||+3300||+175||+175||+450||+2000||+1300||+5000||+900|
|New York Jets*||+220||+500||+700||+400||+5000||+400||+1400||+2500||+800|
|San Francisco 49ers*||+250||+800||+500||+200||+3300||+1200||+1100||+2500||+700|
Odds as of April 29th. *Indicates wager relates to playing position of second player selected by the team
Cardinals Cornering the Market
One team that will supply you solid odds no matter which position you opt to play with your wager is the Arizona Cardinals. As a team that was on the bubble of playing postseason football a year ago, it’s vital that the Cards deal themselves a winning hand with their first pick in order to move closer to taking that next step.
Cornerback is the favored position to fill the slot when Arizona steps up to the draft podium. Even better, those favorite odds are a stellar +200.
— Locked on AZ Cards (@lockedonazcards) April 20, 2021
This is definitely an area of need for the Cardinals. Both All-Pro Patrick Peterson and Dre Kirkpatrick have departed through free agency. While Alabama’s Patrick Surtain II is almost certain to be off the board when Arizona picks at #16, Virginia Tech’s Caleb Farley and possibly South Carolina’s Jaycee Horn could both still be available. Expect one of them to slot in here.
There’s also a glaring need for a pass-catching tight end following the exit of Dan Arnold. However, Florida’s Kyle Pitts isn’t sliding to Arizona and there’s not another tight end worthy of selection this early.
- Pick: Arizona Cardinals, cornerback (+200)
Bengals Won’t Play Bromance Card
The expectation when it comes to the Cincinnati Bengals is that they’re planning to get the band back together. In 2019, Bengals QB Joe Burrow led LSU to the national title, frequently connecting with wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase.
The notion of reuniting these two studs in Bengals uniforms makes for great copy and it’s not a concept that’s lacking in merit. Undoubtedly, Chase is the top wideout among the class of 2021.
Penei Sewell didn't allow more than 2 QB pressures in any of his 21 games at Oregon pic.twitter.com/jfGcxpzWrx
— PFF Draft (@PFF_College) April 28, 2021
However, Cincy just can’t go there. First and foremost, a team has to protect its franchise QB. And the Bengals offensive line was dreadful in 2020.
After Burrow’s season-ending knee injury during his rookie campaign, an exclamation point was put behind this fact of life. The Bengals desperately need a left tackle and Oregon’s Penei Sewell fills that void. He’s the Outland Trophy winner and far and away the best O-line prospect in this draft year.
Burrow can’t get the ball to Chase, or anyone else for that matter if he’s lying on his back or idling on IL.
- Pick: Cincinnati Bengals, offensive lineman (+175)
Odds on Playing Position of NFL Team’s First Drafted Player
|Green Bay Packers||-150||+120|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-125||+101|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+125||-158|
|Los Angeles Chargers||-215||+165|
|Los Angeles Rams||-118||-106|
|New England Patriots||-200||+155|
|New Orleans Saints||+140||-177|
|New York Giants||-137||+110|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+133||-167|
|Washington Football Team||-150||+120|
|New York Jets*||+108||-134|
|San Francisco 49ers*||-104||-121|
*Indicates wager relates to playing position of second player selected by the team
Packers Are Unpredictable
If there’s one thing that this process taught everyone in 2020, it’s that the Green Bay Packers are the Forrest Gump of the NFL Draft. When they pick, you never know what they’re going to get.
Last year, they took QB Jordan Love with their first selection, even though their #1 QB Aaron Rodgers is the reigning NFL MVP. With their second pick, they opted for running back AJ Dillon, even though Aaron Jones was coming off a career year.
Is Jamin Davis the best LB in the 2021 NFL Draft?
He was the only FBS player in 2020 with at least 100 tackles and 3 interceptions 💪 pic.twitter.com/4Gl1Vjo839
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) April 29, 2021
Logically, the Pack should be looking offense in the first round. They could perhaps go for a wideout like Minnesota’s Rashod Bateman or Florida’s Kadarius Toney. Grabbing Alabama center Landon Dickerson to replace the departed Corey Linsley also makes a lot of sense.
That being said, a lot of prominent mock drafts are slotting in Kentucky linebacker Jamin Davis to Green Bay at #29. When things went south for the Packers last season, atrocious linebacker play was a leading cause of their demise.
- Pick: Green Bay Packers, defense (+120)
Vikings Add Beef
The Minnesota Vikings appear to be one of the teams in this year’s draft that even the experts remain uncertain about regarding their choice. It’s evident based on the betting odds for Minny’s first selection. Offense supplies a betting line of -108, while defense is sitting at -115.
While it’s not great value, offense is offering better value than defense. You should go that route.
Alijah Vera-Tucker is a sneaky name to watch tonight. Very highly regarded by teams, including the Giants. Will he go higher than expected? These are the kind of things that make tonight so much fun.
— Jordan Raanan (@JordanRaanan) April 29, 2021
This is a deep class for the O-line. Minnesota can choose from among a number of candidates to provide running back Dalvin Cook with another run blocker and quarterback Kirk Cousins with improved pass protection.
Possibilities to the Vikings at #14 include USC tackle Alijah Vera-Tucker, Northwestern tackle Rashawn Slater, Virginia Tech tackle Christian Darrisaw and Oklahoma State tackle Teven Jenkins.
One concern the Vikes face is that both the New York Giants (#11) and Los Angeles Chargers (#13), who pick just ahead of Minnesota, are also expected to be in the market for offensive line upgrading.
- Pick: Minnesota Vikings, offense (-108)
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