- Week 12 of the NFL season got underway with Thursday’s trio of Thanksgiving Day games
- Which betting line has moved the most since opening? What’s the smallest spread of the week?
- All of the wagering information on every NFL game is listed below
Cursory study of the NFL line movement is a valuable process for football bettors any week during the season. However, there’s just something about the arrival of Thanksgiving week that really amps up the excitement.
It’s the official launch of the holiday season, so there’s that. More importantly, from a wagering point of view, it kicks into gear the stretch drive of the NFL season. The college football regular season is winding down and the focus on the pursuit of NFL postseason places magnifies significantly.
There are no shortage of games during Week 12 with NFL playoff implications riding on the outcome, beginning with two of the three games played on Thanksgiving.
Which games are looking to be the biggest movers and shakers in NFL Week 12 line movement?
Let’s look at that. First, though, check out how the NFL betting lines are moving for Week 12.
NFL Week 12 Odds
|Matchup||Opening Spread||Current Spread||Opening Total||Current Total|
|Bears vs Lions||CHI-3.5||CHI-3.5||42.5||41.5|
|Raiders vs Cowboys||DAL-7||DAL-7.5||51||51|
|Titans vs Patriots||NE-4.5||NE-6.5||44.5||44|
|Colts vs Bills||BUF-6.5||BUF-7||49.5||50.5|
|Jets vs Texans||HOU-3||HOU-2.5||44.5||44.5|
|Eagles vs Giants||PHI-3||PHI-3.5||46||45.5|
|Buccaneers vs Colts||TB-3||TB-3||51.5||53|
|Falcons vs Jaguars||ATL-1||ATL-2.5||47.5||45.5|
|Panthers vs Dolphins||CAR-1.5||CAR-2||43.5||41.5|
|Steelers vs Bengals||CIN-4||CIN-4.5||45.5||45|
|Chargers vs Broncos||LAC-2||LAC-2.5||48||47.5|
|Vikings vs 49ers||SF-1.5||SF-3||48.5||49|
|Rams vs Packers||GB-1.5||LAR-1||49.5||47|
|Browns vs Ravens||BAL-4.5||BAL-3.5||46.5||46.5|
|Seahawks vs Washington||SEA-2.5||WAS-1.5||46||46.5|
Odds as of November 25th at FanDuel.
Flip Flopping The Washingtons
Hey, this isn’t the first time there’s been some serious flip flopping going on in Washington. The thing is, this time it’s a flip flop from the team in Washington state to the team in Washington, DC.
When the line opened on the Seattle Seahawks-Washington Football Team game, it was showing Seattle as the 2.5-point chalk. Following a week’s worth of uncertainty in the land of Starbucks and grunge music, that line has swung around to now show the Football Team as the 1.5-point favorites. That’s the largest spread move of Week 12.
DARON CALLED GAME pic.twitter.com/8yKYKkKosu
— Washington Football Team (@WashingtonNFL) November 21, 2021
Seattle is 3-7 and sinking fast. Quarterback Russell Wilson is still trying to find his game since coming back from a finger injury. Running back Chris Carson is out for the season and wide receiver DK Metcalf is also ailing.
Meanwhile, Washington has won two in a row, including a triumph over the reigning Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Perhaps the question everyone should be asking: why were the Seahawks favored in the first place?
Movement Down Under
There was sizeable movement in the total on a number of games this week. In each case, they were trending toward the under. Atlanta-Jacksonville (47-5 to 45) and Carolina-Miami (43.5 to 41.5) both dipped by two full points.
"I have a fractured toe."
Aaron Rodgers really showed his foot during his news conference 😅 pic.twitter.com/9vc3v9l22z
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 24, 2021
However, the Week 12 winner for the largest total movement is the contest that’s looming large as the game of the week. The total for the Green Bay Packers-Los Angeles Rams game at Lambeau Field opened at 49.5 points. It’s now down to 47.
The combination of the Rams’ traditionally poor play in cold weather, coupled with the fractured toe suffered by Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is causing a betting trend of movement toward the under.
Stubbing Their Toes
Trying to decipher a winner from the Rams-Packers game is also giving NFL bettors cause for concern. The Packers opened as the 1.5-point pick at home.
Matt LaFleur isn't above rooting for the tundra to be frozen Sunday when the Los Angeles Rams come to town: "I'm not going to lie, I wasn't disappointed when I saw that it's going to be in the low 30s."
— Ryan Wood (@ByRyanWood) November 24, 2021
Then Rodgers held his toe jam session with the media, revealing which piggy went to market and which piggy is fractured. Next thing you know, it’s the Rams who are the 1-point chalk. That’s the smallest spread of Week 12.
Patriots Games Matter Again
It’s late November and the New England Patriots are leading the AFC East. No, you haven’t entered the tardis and time traveled. This is really happening right here and right now.
First place in the AFC East belongs to the New England Patriots 📈 pic.twitter.com/yEeroCnaYf
— ESPN (@espn) November 21, 2021
Not only that but NFL bettors can’t get back aboard the Pats’ bandwagon fast enough. If 7-4 New England beats the 8-3 Tennessee Titans, there’s a chance they could leave Week 12 as the #1 seed in the AFC.
Tennessee lost last week to the Houston Texans. Yes, those Texans. New England went from 4.5 to 6.5-point favorites over the Titans, giving the Patriots the biggest spread of the week.
The Incredible Shrinking Total
The total on the Panthers-Dolphins game was a small number to begin with, even before the subtraction began. Given an opportunity for sober second thought, it would appear that NFL bettors are of the opinion that the second coming of Cam Newton in Carolina isn’t going to be all that after all.
— ADSN (@adsn_carolinas) November 25, 2021
Opening with a total of 43.5, by dropping down to 41.5 points, the Carolina-Miami game shows the smallest total for Week 12.
Adding Up Quickly
Last week, the Indianapolis Colts and Tampa Bay Buccaneers combined to produce 71 points. Colts running back Jonathan Taylor scored five TDs. That’s a good season’s output for the Detroit Lions.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 21, 2021
At 30.9 points per game, the Bucs are the NFL’s top-scoring offense. Indy (28.1 ppg) ranks fifth. No wonder then that the total on this game climbed from 51.5 to 53 points. That’s the largest number for any game this week.
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