- The Las Vegas Raiders visit the Cincinnati Bengals to kick-off Super Wild Card weekend
- Week 17 Record: 3-2, +1.97 units; 2021 Record: 23-55, -10.68 units
- See the Raiders vs Bengals player props ahead of Saturday’s kickoff
After 18 weeks, the playoffs are set. And after that crazy finish on Sunday Night Football, the Las Vegas Raiders take the spotlight once again, heading to Cincinnati to face the Bengals.
Cincinnati won the AFC North for the first time since 2015. After missing Week 18, Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon return to action to kick off Wild Card Weekend.
Kickoff from Paul Brown Stadium is slated for 4:30 pm EST on a cloudy and cold Saturday.
Raiders vs Bengals Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Derek Carr, LV||23.5 (O -120 / U -110)||251.5 (O -115 / U -115)||1.5 (O +115 / U -150)|
|Joe Burrow, CIN||23.5 (O -120 / U -110)||262.5 (O -115 / U -115)||1.5 (O -155 / U +120)|
|Player||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Josh Jacobs, LV||16.5 (O -105 / U -125)||59.5 (O -115 / U -115)||84.5 (O -115 / U -115)|
|Derek Carr, LV||N/A||5.5 (O -120 / U -110)||260.5 (O -115 / U -115)*|
|Joe MIxon, CIN||19.5 (O -105 / U -125)||76.5 (O -115 / U -115)||100.5 (O -115 / U -115)|
|Joe Burrow, CIN||N/A||8.5 (O -120 / U -110)||274.5 (O -115 / U -115)*|
|RB/WR/TE||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Bryan Edwards, LV||2.5 (O +140 / U -190)||22.5 (O -110 / U -120)||14.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Darren Waller, LV||5.5 (O +115 / U -155)||60.5 (O -115 / U -115)||21.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Hunter Renfrow, LV||5.5 (O -115 / U -115)||55.5 (O -115 / U -115)||19.5 (O -120 / U -110)|
|Josh Jacobs, LV||3.5 (O +105 / U -140)||20.5 (O -115 / U -115)||11.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Zay Jones, LV||4.5 (O +115 / U -155)||45.5 (O -110 / U -120)||18.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|CJ Uzomah, CIN||3.5 (O +135 / U -180)||26.5 (O -115 / U -115)||13.5 (O -115 / U -115)|
|Ja’Marr Chase, CIN||5.5 (O +100 / U -135)||69.5 (O -115 / U -115)||24.5 (O -120 / U -110)|
|Joe Mixon, CIN||3.5 (O +115 / U -150)||20.5 (O -115 / U -115)||1015 (O -105 / U -125)|
|Tee Higgins, CIN||5.5 (O +115 / U -155)||65.5 (O -120 / U -110)||24.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Tyler Boyd, CIN||3.5 (O -175 / U +130)||41.5 (O -115 / U -115)||18.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
Odds as of January 14th at DraftKings
*Indicates Pass + Rush Yards
The Bengals are 5.5-point home favorites in their first playoff game since 2015. Both teams finished the regular season hot against the spread, as Cincy was 4-0 ATS, and the Raiders were 3-0. Overs were only 4-6 during Vegas’ last 10, but went 6-4 for the Bengals. The Raiders vs Bengals total is set at 48.
To keep up with all of the action from Wild Card weekend, be sure to download your printable NFL playoff bracket.
Mixon Eyes Week 11 Repeat
The first meeting in Week 11 wasn’t exactly close. Joe Mixon made sure of that.
Mixon carried it 30 times for 123 yards and two touchdowns. It continued a trend of dominance against the Silver and Black.
Joe Mixon can't wait for his fourth career game against the Raiders, he's been wildly successful against them:
2018: 130 scrimmage yards + 2 TD
2019: 103 scrimmage yards + 1 TD
2021: 123 scrimmage yards + 2 TD
He is the FIRST NFL player to ever do this. pic.twitter.com/AEFFcSmH8O
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) January 11, 2022
While the fifth-year back had a great season, finishing third in rushing yards, it was volume-driven. Mixon finished third in rushing attempts, but among the top 10 in rushing, he had the third-lowest YPC (4.1).
That game against the Raiders was one of just five games where he managed to hit his over.
great rep of WR Windback from the Bengals here.
TE Drew Sample and WR Tyler Boyd fighting to seal the defenders and WR Stanley Morgan leading the way for Joe Mixon. pic.twitter.com/2lDvoRSICO
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) January 13, 2022
Vegas has been better against the run than that game indicates. They finished 14th in yards allowed, surrendering just 4.2-per-carry (23rd).
While Mixon hit the over on carries just four times, there’s optimism here. In six of the games Mixon didn’t hit, he had 17+. Mixon rarely comes off the field, and if Cincy has to kill the clock, he’ll get plenty of touches.
- The Pick: Joe Mixon OVER 19.5 carries (-105); 1 unit
Hunter Renfrow Steals the Spotlight
‘Breakout season’ is putting what Hunter Renfrow did lightly.
The third-year receiver shattered his previous career highs. After seeing 71 and 77 targets his first two seasons, Derek Carr looked his way 128 times. Renfrow caught 103 of those for 1,038 yards.
His 80.5% catch rate was fourth among non-RBs; he was one of five players to finish with a mark above 75% on 100+ targets.
Coaching: Create 1 on 1
Players: Win 1 on 1
— Dan Orlovsky (@danorlovsky7) January 12, 2022
But in Week 11 it didn’t quite work out. The Bengals limited Renfrow to four targets, four catches and 30 yards. Carr didn’t fare well either, finishing with his fifth-lowest yardage output of the season.
Since then, Renfrow has been back to hogging targets. He’s seen at least 5+ looks in six of seven games, and has gotten 9+ targets in four of them.
Hunter Renfrow pic.twitter.com/UvCB0qo0oE
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) January 12, 2022
The Raiders get Renfrow the ball quickly. He averaged 5.7 yards before the catch, which was third-lowest among 1,000 yard receivers. And only 10 receivers in that class outdid him in yards after the catch.
Saturday’s weather shouldn’t affect Renfrow because of where he excels on the field. It even may help him get a few more looks.
- The Pick: Hunter Renfrow OVER 55.5 receiving yards (-115); 1 unit
Raiders vs Bengals Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score First TD||Odds to Score a TD|
|Joe Mixon, CIN||+550||-160|
|Ja’Marr Chase, CIN||+750||+100|
|Josh Jacobs, LV||+750||-105|
|Tee Higgins, CIN||+900||+125|
|Tyler Boyd, CIN||+1200||+175|
|Darren Waller, LV||+1200||+180|
|Hunter Renfrow, LV||+1300||+180|
|CJ Uzomah, CIN||+1500||+225|
|Bryan Edwards, LV||+1800||+280|
|Zay Jones, LV||+2000||+300|
Odds as of January 14th at DraftKings
During their four game win streak, Vegas scored first every time. Cincinnati hasn’t been as dominant in that category, failing to nab the first TD in their last six games. The last time they scored first was in Week 12.
Expect both trends to continue.
Staying with Renfrow, he had more receiving TDs (nine) than the next three pass catchers on the Raiders combined. While Renfrow was kept relatively quiet in Week 11, Darren Waller wasn’t.
— Josh Dubow (@JoshDubowAP) January 7, 2022
Waller had seven catches for 116 yards, but finished without a TD. If the Bengals can’t find an answer for him again, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him take one in.
As for the Raiders, running backs and tight ends have been the problem positions. Joe Mixon received 51% of Cincy’s red zone touches, which was second among all running backs. His value isn’t great, but he’ll get plenty of chances inside the 20.
- The Pick: Darren Waller to score FIRST touchdown (+1200); 0.5 units
- The Pick: Waller (+180) and Joe Mixon (-160) to score ANYTIME; 0.5 units for Waller, 1.0 unit for Mixon
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