- The Marlins are -120 favorites over the Mets on Friday night
- Taijuan Walker (5-2, 2.88) will pitch for New York against Sandy Alcantara (7-2, 1.72)
- A look at the Mets vs Marlins odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The National League East-leading New York Mets visit the Miami Marlins at 6:40 pm ET Friday in the opener of a three-game series at loanDepot Park.
The Mets (45-26, 21-16 road) are coming off being swept in a two-game series in Houston by the Astros, including losing 5-3 on Wednesday before being off Thursday. The Marlins (32-36, 18-14 home) are coming off a three-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies at home, capped by a 3-2 win on Thursday.
Mets vs Marlins Odds
|New York Mets||+100||+1.5 (-180)||Over 7.5 (-115)|
|Miami Marlins||-120||-1.5 (+155)||Under 7.5 (-105)|
Odds as of June 23rd at FanDuel Sportsbook.
The Mets have a 54.55% implied win probability as -120 favorites. New York has World Series odds of +750 and the Marlins are pegged at +25000.
With a forecasted gametime temperature of 93 degrees, the loanDepot Park roof will almost certainly be closed.
NYM vs MIA Probable Pitchers
Taijuan Walker (5-2, 2.88) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Sandy Alcantara (7-2, 1.72). Walker will be pitching on five days of rest and Alcantara, the National League Cy Young odds favorite at +280, on four days.
Walker vs Alcantara
Walker has won his last two starts, including against the Marlins last Saturday in New York. He gave up only one run and two hits in 6.2 innings while striking out nine and walking one.
Walker is 1-2 with a 3.97 ERA in his career against the Marlins in six games (five starts). He has pitched only once at loanDepot Park, taking the loss in a start last season when he surrendered four runs in 5.2 innings.
The outgoing Walker is also fan friendly.
Taijuan Walker takes pictures with Mets fans at the team store at Citi Field: pic.twitter.com/BGXMgrtHEp
— SNY (@SNYtv) June 17, 2022
On the road this season, Walker has a 3-2 record and 3.11 ERA in seven starts. He is 1-2 with a 4.55 ERA in six starts in night games.
Alcantara has been outstanding over his last eight starts, compiling a 5-0 record and 0.99 ERA.
Alcantara beat the Mets in his last start Sunday at Citi Field when he worked eight innings and allowed two runs on six hits. He struck out eight and walked one.
In 11 career starts against the Mets, Alcantara is 3-4 with a 2.76 ERA.
Sandy Alcántara, Painted 99mph Front Door Two Seamer. 🖌️🎨
19 inches of run. pic.twitter.com/cMEdSijpLf
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 19, 2022
He has a 4-1 record in night games this season with a 1.27 ERA in eight starts and is 4-1 with a 1.36 at home.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
|Mets Batters||Batting Average vs Sandy Alcantara|
|Marlins Batters||Batting Average vs Taijuan Walker|
|Bryan De La Cruz||.400|
|Jazz Chisholm Jr.||.286|
The Mets’ J.D. Davis is 4 for 10 (.400) with two doubles off Alcantara and Jeff McNeil is a .320 hitter (8 for 25) with one double and one home run. Eduardo Escobar, though, is 1 for 12 (.083) and Dominic Smith is 1 for 11 (.091).
The Marlins’ Bryan De La Cruz has gone 4 for 10 (.400) against Walker. Miguel Rojas is just 2 for 16 (.125) with a double.
Mets vs Marlins Betting Outlook
Avisail Garcia drove in the winning run for the Marlins with a fielder’s choice grounder in the eighth inning to bring home the winning run Thursday against the Rockies.
Miami’s Jon Berti had two hits and two stolen base and has been successful on 21 consecutive steal attempts. Jesus Aguilar also had two hits.
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) June 23, 2022
The Marlins placed reliever Louis Head (left shoulder impingement) on the 15-day injured list before the game.
The Mets got two hits each from Francisco Lindor and Luis Guillorme in Wednesday’s loss to the Astros. Lindor has +4000 NL MVP odds.
McNeil (right hamstring tightness) has a chance of returning to the lineup after the second baseman missed the last two games. Reliever Seth Lugo will be activated from the paternity list.
The Mets took three of four from the Marlins last weekend in New York in the first meeting of the National League East rivals this season. McNeil went 4 for 10 (.400) with two doubles for the Mets and Guillorme was 4 for 9.
Jeff McNeil puts the Mets on the board! pic.twitter.com/O2lgSh42Pm
— SNY (@SNYtv) June 16, 2022
Since the start of the 2018 season, the Mets are 44-27 versus the Marlins.
Mets vs Marlins Last 10 Games
|Date||Home Team||Away Team||Score|
|9/28/21 (2)||Mets||Marlins||NYM, 2-1|
|9/28/21 (1)||Mets||Marlins||NYM, 5-2|
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
Alcantara is the NL Cy Young Award favorite for a reason as he has been untouchable for nearly two months. He’s the clear play, especially at about as good of a price as you’ll get on him pitching at home.
Pick: Marlins ML (-120)