Cheltenham Handicaps Special

Producer Daniel Hussey summarises all the bets in our Cheltenham Handicaps Special as Tom Stanley was joined by Matt Tombs, Steve Jones, Dan Overall and Micheál Deasy…

What a fun one this was!

Our Annual Cheltenham Handicaps Special was back with a bang, with some big prices put up by all.

We went through all the handicaps, plus the non-Grade 1s (Hunters’ Chase aside!).

Best of luck if having a bet or two at the Festival!


Tuesday – Ultima Handicap Chase

Every winner this century had run over at least 3m over fences, (9 had run over a marathon trip)

  • Tom – Lord Accord (if ground has ‘good’ in it)
  • Matt – Corach Rambler
  • Steve – Oscar Elite
  • Dan O – Lord Accord
  • Deasy – Corach Rambler, Cloudy Glen

Tuesday – Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

Horses that began in French national hunt races (inc AQPS) are 7/79 – 49pt (61%) profit

  • Steve – Bad
  • Dan O – Risk Belle
  • Deasy – Jazzy Matty (0.25 Win/0.75 Place)

Tuesday – National Hunt Chase

Horses that had run 8 or more times over fences are 6/36 – 21pt (58%) profit since the race was at level-weights

  • Tom – Gaillard Du Mesnil
  • Matt – Churchstonewarrior
  • Steve – Tenzing (w/p)
  • Dan O – Gaillard Du Mesnil
  • Deasy – Lay Gaillard Du Mesnil




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Wednesday – Coral Cup

6 Cesarewitch winners have run at the Festival this century. Detroit City got closest to the winner when 19l 6th as 2.5 favourite for the Champion Hurdle

  • Tom – Au Fleuron / Historique Reconce
  • Matt – Langer Dan (producer Dan will be on him too!!)
  • Steve – HMS Seahorse
  • Dan O – San Salvador, An Epic Song (if soft)
  • Deasy – Beacon Edge

Wednesday – Cross Country

14 of the 18 winners, including 6 of the 7 at level-weights, have come from the front 3 in the market

  • Tom – Delta Work
  • Matt – Delta Work
  • Steve – Galvin

Wednesday – Grand Annual

Last year 7 British horses ran in handicaps having been dropped 10lb+ from mark they had when either (1) last running the previous season (20/21) or (2) first running in that current season (21/22) – Global Citizen (29.0) & Third Wind (26.0) won, Didero Vallis was third (67.0)

  • Tom – Andy Dufrsene
  • Matt – Sizing Pottsie (if really soft) & Rouge Vif (if sound surface)
  • Dan O – Andy Dufresne, Red Rookie
  • Deasy – Global Citizen, Dads Lad

Wednesday – Champion Bumper

The top 2 in the BHA ratings are 8/33 since they began in 2008 – 18pt (55%) profit

  • Tom – Chosen Witness if testing ground
  • Matt – Encanto Bruno
  • Steve – Fun Fun Fun
  • Dan O – Western Diego
  • Deasy – Western Diego (small win/place)


Thursday – Pertemps

The 10 runners from Cullentra House (Gordon Elliott’s) finished 2121512354 in the 6 renewals between 2016-2021

  • Tom – Bear Ghylls
  • Matt – Good Time Johnny
  • Steve – Bear Ghylls
  • Dan O – Shoot First
  • Deasy – Thanksforthehelp, Bear Ghylls (If soft/heavy)

Thursday – Plate

Venetia Williams is 3/26 this century – 72pt (277% profit)

  • Tom – Fusil Raffles / Frero Banbou / Fastorslow
  • Matt – Frero Banbou
  • Steve – Stolen Silver
  • Deasy – Fusil Raffles

Thursday – Mares Novice

Having won the first 5 renewals Willie Mullins’ horses in the subsequent 2 renewals have finished 6000358900, half going off 9.0 or shorter

  • Tom – You Wear It Well
  • Matt – Magical Zoe & Halka Du Tarbet
  • Steve – Magical Zoe (w/p)
  • Dan O – Lot of Joy
  • Deasy – Ahorsewithnoname, Princess Zoe

Thursday – Kim Muir

8 of the last 12 winners came from the front 3 in the SP market, going off 10.0 or shorter

  • Matt – Angels Dawn
  • Dan O – Dr Kananga
  • Deasy – Anightinlambourn, Rapper




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Friday – County Hurdle

Runners from the Liffey Handicap Hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival are 4/43 in the last 15 renewals – 51pt (119%) profit

  • Tom – Pembroke, Path D’oroux
  • Matt – Ballyadam, Gin Coco
  • Steve – Fil Dor
  • Dan O – Sharjah
  • Deasy – Aucunrisque, Hunters Yarn (if he runs)

Friday – Mares Chase

No trend as new race

  • Matt – Jeremys Flame
  • Steve – Impervious

Friday – Martin Pipe

Horses that had won over the furthest they’d run over over hurdles (minimum 2m5f) are 6/52 – 39pt (74%) profit

  • Tom – Historique Reconce
  • Steve – Sa Fureur
  • Dan O – Three Card Brag (if he runs, seems unlikely), Iroko
  • Deasy – Blue Sari

Best Cheltenham Handicap Long-Shot

  • Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
  • Matt – Good Time Johnny (Pertemps)
  • Steve – Bear Ghylls (Pertemps)
  • Dan O – Iroko (Martin Pipe)
  • Deasy – Cloudy Glen (Ultima)

Best Cheltenham Handicap Place Lay

  • Tom – So Scottish (Plate)
  • Matt – Run For Oscar (Coral Cup)
  • Steve – Shoot First (Pertemps)
  • Dan O – Camprond (Coral Cup), Spanish Harlem (Martin Pipe)
  • Deasy – Stumptown (Kim Muir)

Best Cheltenham Handicap Bet

  • Tom – Frero Banbou (Plate)
  • Matt – Frero Banbou (Plate)
  • Steve – HMS Seahorse (Coral)
  • Dan O – Sharjah (County)
  • Deasy – Corach Rambler (Ultima)

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The post Cheltenham Handicaps Special appeared first on Matchbook Insights.

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