MLS Predictions, Odds, Betting Tips for Week 13
- It’s our first full midweek slate of MLS action this week with 13 matches going down on Wednesday, May 17
- Can Montreal keep rolling? Will heavy favorites LAFC and Seattle prevail at home?
- See all of the MLS odds plus our top MLS predictions for Week 13 here
MLS is right back at it with a quick turnaround to MLS Week 13 kicking off on Wednesday. There are 13 games on tap and we’re breaking down our top MLS predictions here.
Wednesday’s action gets started with seven matches at 7:30 pm EST and two, LAFC vs SKC and Seattle vs Austin, rounding out the slate at 10:30 pm EST.
MLS Odds Week 13
|FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal||-154||+300||+425|
|Atlanta United vs Colorado Rapids||-143||+300||+375|
|Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire||-106||+260||+280|
|Philadelphia Union vs DC United||-154||+280||+425|
|Orlando City vs NYCFC||+120||+230||+240|
|Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls||+145||+220||+200|
|Columbus Crew vs LA Galaxy||-106||+250||+280|
|Nashville SC vs Inter Miami||-154||+300||+400|
|FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps||-106||+250||+300|
|Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo||-118||+250||+333|
|Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers||-118||+275||+300|
|LAFC vs Sporting KC||-200||+350||+500|
|Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC||-167||+300||+475|
Both late games in MLS Week 13 feature the day’s biggest favorites in LAFC (-200) and Seattle (-167). But Cincinnati, Philadelphia and Nashville are also given short odds of -154 on Wednesday. Oddsmakers see the Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls match being the most likely draw at +220 odds. The Red Bulls are the highest Under team at 11-1 to Under 2.5 totals. MLS odds as of May 16 at Bet365. Get this Bet365 bonus code to make your MLS Week 13 picks here.
MLS Week 13 Betting Notes
Last weekend saw some crazyness with a record nine red cards being handed out. That’s the most red cards for one day of matches ever, with the previous record being seven.
A ton of teams are still winless on the road this season. That list includes Vancouver, San Jose, Los Angeles and Houston from the West and New York, Toronto and NYCFC from the East.
Orlando is undefeated in their last six home games vs NYCFC, while New York has lost four straight across all comps, all on the road and are 0-2-5 away from home this season.
Toronto’s two shot attempts on Saturday was their lowest output since 2010 and tied the fewest shot attempts by any team this season as it’s happened to both Atlanta and Vancouver. They’ll need to do better this week against a Red Bulls team coming off a win and one that has scored against TFC in 16 straight meetings and has only lost once in their past ten games versus Toronto.
It’s unclear if he’ll feature this week, but Minnesota United got some good news this week as the suspended Emanuel Reynoso, the Loons best player, has been cleared to return to the team. Reynoso has 18 goals and 35 assists in his 76 games with the Loons.
Revenge will surely be on the minds for Wayne Rooney and DC United as they lost their two games against Philly last season by a combined score of 13-0 (7-0 and 6-0). That’s the worst two-game span goal differential in a season in MLS history.
Tim Melia came off with an injury on the weekend in SKC’s win over Minnesota. It’s worth checking the MLS injury reports for his availability,
Last week was a 1-2 week in our MLS picks, leaving us at an overall record of 16-22, -9 units. This week we have four MLS picks from the Week 13 card.
Columbus Crew vs LA Galaxy Prediction
Columbus had an xG of 3.50 versus Orlando last week and piled on the shots with 22 attempts and seven on target in what ended in a 2-2 draw. The Crew rank sixth in xG at 17.7. While they’re welcoming a struggling Galaxy team to Lower.com Field, LA just won 2-1 over San Jose and actually ranks right behind Columbus in seventh with an xG of 17.2.
Both of these teams are also among the leaders in attacking third touches, the Crew being second overall, followed by the Galaxy in third. Those numbers continue into attacking penalty area touches with Columbus first and LA third.
It takes no more than a quick look at the standings to see that Columbus, 4-3-4, 8th in the East is having the better season than LA, 2-3-6, 13th in the West. But the Crew have allowed a goal in 8/11 games. Two of their three clean sheets came against DC and the other against an RSL team tied for the third-fewest goals (10) in the league. The Galaxy are a mess, but a Cali Clasico win may give them a boost heading into this one.
- MLS Predictions: Both teams to score (-155), risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Prediction
Cincinnati sat out on the weekend so come into midweek play fresh for their home match against Montreal.
Cincinnati is coming off a 2-1 win over DC and is now undefeated in three, with still just a single defeat on the season. Only they, and LAFC have only one loss. FCC are still perfect at home at 6-0-0 with nine goals scored and three conceded and are among the favorites in the MLS Cup odds.
On paper, if you check the standings, Montreal is just 1-0-5, with two goals scored and 14 allowed on the road and look to be in tough on Wednesday. But Montreal is the hottest team in the league over the past five rounds. They’re 4-0-1 and the only team with 12 points over that stretch. That comes off the back of four straight 2-0 wins. Throw in two Canadian Championship wins and they’ve won six in a row, the first time they’ve done so in club history. They’ve also scored twice in all six.
This matchup has produced a boatload of goals in recent games. Last season Montreal won both games by 4-3 scorelines. In 2021, there was a 0-0 draw, but also a 5-4 Montreal win.
- MLS Predictions: Both teams to score (-130), risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook
Ring that bell, Montreal. 🔔
Chinonso Offor makes it 2-0 for @cfmontreal against Toronto. pic.twitter.com/VJcIUhS5dt
— Major League Soccer (@MLS) May 14, 2023
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction
In the two previous meetings between Charlotte and Chicago last season, both teams won on the road by 3-2 scorelines.
The Fire have conceded a goal on the road in six straight and in 17/19. Charlotte is just 2-2-2 at home but are undefeated in four at Bank of America Stadium. Those past four home scorelines have read 3-2 (W), 1-0 (W), 2-2 (D) and 1-1 (D).
Charlotte has been involved in some of the most Over games this season, being 9-3 to Over 2.5 totals. They’ve scored a goal in 9/12 and both teams have scored in 8/12 of their games.
For the Fire, they’ve scored in 8/11 and betting both teams to score is 7-4 in their games so far.
With six goals in their past two games, the Crown should get their chances. But they’ve also allowed the most shots on target this season (61), opening the door for Chicago to contribute to the scoresheet as well.
If you want to back the cards market this could be the game to do so. These are two of the teams that receive the most cards this season. Both teams are tied in fourth with 31 yellow cards. Chicago has also received two red cards. Charlotte’s opponents have also received the fifth-most yellow cards against them with 30 (plus one red).
- MLS Predictions: Both teams to score (-145), risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook
#DTID and #CFMTL surge up the rankings! 📈
Full power rankings: https://t.co/XaohsE8DD0 pic.twitter.com/2rSYRUbiIE
— Major League Soccer (@MLS) May 16, 2023
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC Prediction
Austin are one of the still winless road teams mentioned earlier. In their five away matches they’ve scored only four goals while conceding ten. The Verde haven’t won on their travels in four, coming off a draw (2-2) and three losses (2-0, 3-0, 2-0).
Austin was already struggling for goals and managed zero in last week’s 1-0 home loss to Dallas without talisman Sebastian Driussi. They’ll be sans Driussi once again and go back on the road where they are 26th in xG (4.7). They’ll also be down Rodney Redes who was shown a straight red on Saturday.
Austin ranks 21st in shots on target with 42 and Driussi has contributed eight of those. Only Emiliano Rigoni (9) and Jon Gallagher (6) remain as players who have more than three shots on target this season.
The Verde are mired in an eight-match winless slide where they’ve been held off the scoresheet five times in that stretch.
They’ll be in tough against a Sounders team they’ve yet to defeat in their short history, drawing two and losing two. Down their top player and on the road to a Seattle team that leads the league in clean sheets (7), I’m backing a Seattle win.
- MLS Predictions: Seattle to win (-167); risk 1 unit at Bet365
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