Early NFL Player Props to Target for Week 5: Geno Smith, Zach Ertz & More

SportsBettingDime October 1, 2024
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  • Which Week 5 NFL player props should you target?
  • I’ve got my eyes on Geno Smith’s passing yards vs New York, among others
  • Below, see the best early NFL player props to target for Week 5

The 2024 NFL season is well underway, and now it’s time to shift our attention to Week 5. NFL player props for Week 5 will soon readily be available at sportsbooks, and I’ve got my eye on several potential over/unders.

One of my favorite player props for Week 5 can be found in the New York vs Seattle showdown, where I forecast Geno Smith to have a big day through the air against the Giants’ struggling pass defense. Elsewhere, Commanders’ tight end Zach Ertz lands a favorable matchup against Cleveland.

Let’s dive further into the early NFL player props I’m targeting for Week 5.

NFL Week 5 Player Props to Target

Player (Team) Prop
Geno Smith (SEA) Over Passing Yards, Over Completions
Zach Ertz (WAS) Over Receiving Yards

Browse the top NFL betting apps for player props so you can lock in these bets as soon as they become available.

Geno Smith Passing Yards & Completions

Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks have been one of the best stories of the 2024 NFL season so far. I’m looking to target Smith in the Week 5 NFL player props against the Giants in what should be another big evening for the veteran pivot.

In Week 4 against Detroit, the veteran quarterback completed 38 of 56 pass attempts for 395 yards, throwing one touchdown and one interception. However, the Seahawks lost by double digits and all the talk afterward was about Jared Goff’s perfect game.

I think there will be solid value on the “over” of both Smith’s completions prop and passing yards total. He leads the NFL in both categories, and I don’t think his regression will start against one of the league’s worst secondaries.

The Giants are allowing opposing QBs to complete 72.6% of passes against them, which is third-worst in the league. Given his chemistry with Metcalf is only growing, I’m continuing to look to bet Smith to throw the ball over 40 times and record 300-plus passing yards against New York.

  • NFL Prop Picks: Geno Smith Over 300 Passing Yards, Over 40 Completions

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards

Another player I’m bullish on heading into Week 5 is Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz. The veteran had a quiet afternoon against Arizona, hauling in three targets for 22 yards. However, I’m expecting one of his better performances of the season in Week 5.

The Browns have given up 30-plus yards to the tight end position in three of their four games, including in Week 2 when Jacksonville’s Brenton Strange went off for 65 yards. I expect Daniels to look to Ertz often Sunday, especially considering he’s hauled in 15 of 16 targets so far.

The Browns’ secondary this season has held opposing QBs to a 58.2% completion percentage, which is almost tops in the league. Despite an underwhelming start to 2024, the Browns have elite defensive playmakers that will make life difficult for Daniels.

I’m predicting Daniels to rely on his 6’5″ tight end Ertz early and often in Week 5, cashing the “over” on Ertz’s receiving props in the process.

  • NFL Prop Pick: Zach Ertz Over 45 Receiving Yards
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