Padres vs Dodgers Game 1 Predictions & Odds

  • The Dodgers are -225 home favorites over the Padres in Game 1 of their NLDS on Tuesday night
  • Mike Clevinger (7-7, 4.33) will pitch for the Padres against lefty Julio Urias (17-7, 2.16)
  • Below, find the Game 1 Padres vs Dodgers predictions and odds

Fresh off upsetting the New York Mets, the San Diego Padres visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 1 of the best-of-five National League Division Series at 9:37 p.m. ET Tuesday at Dodger Stadium.

The Padres (91-74, 47-37 road) took two of three from the Mets in the National League Wild Card Series last weekend, including notching a 6-0 victory in Game 3 on Sunday night in New York. San Diego has won four of its last six games overall.

The Dodgers (111-51, 57-24 home) had a bye into the NLDS and last played Oct. 5 when they beat the visiting Colorado Rockies 6-1 in their regular season finale. That ended a three-game losing streak for Los Angeles, which has won eight of its last 12 games.

Padres vs Dodgers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres +190 +1.5 (-120) Over 7.5 (+102)
Los Angeles Dodgers -225 -1.5 (+100) Under 7.5 (-121)

Odds as of October 11th at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code.

The Dodgers are -225 favorites in Game 1, giving them an implied win probability of 69.23%. The Padres’ implied win probability is 34.48% as +190 underdogs. Los Angeles is the +350 favorite in the World Series odds while San Diego is given +1100 odds.

The temperature is forecast to be 65 at first pitch with a low of 59 along with increasing cloudiness and south wind at 5-10 mph.

 

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San Diego vs Los Angeles Probable Pitchers

Mike Clevinger (7-7, 4.33) is scheduled to start for the Padres against left-hander Julio Urias (17-7, 2.16). Clevinger will be pitching on nine days of rest and Urias on six days.

Clevinger vs Urias

Mike Clevinger
VS
Julio Urias
7-7 Record 17-7
4.33 ERA 2.16
4.65 xERA 2.81
1.20 WHIP 0.96
2.60 SO/W 4.05

Clevinger pitched well at the end of the regular season, going 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA in his last three starts.

He had a no-decision in his last outing Oct. 1 against the Chicago White Sox in San Diego. In six innings, Clevinger allowed one run on three hits while striking out three and walking none.

Clevinger was placed on the COVID-19 injured list last Wednesday but activated two days later.

Clevinger has made four career starts against the Dodgers and is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA. He has lost both outings at Dodger Stadium with an 11.25 ERA.

Clevinger has no career record in two postseason starts and six relief appearances. His ERA is 4.15.

In 14 games (13 starts) on the road this season, Clevinger has a 4-4 record and 5.46 ERA. He is 6-3 with a 3.44 ERA in 13 games (12 starts) at night. The Padres have a 15-7 record when Clevinger starts.

Urias, who has +10000 NL Cy Young Award odds, has been on an extended run of outstanding pitching. He is 14-1 with a 1.79 ERA in 19 starts since June 18 after beginning the season with a 3-6 record.

In his last outing, Urias had a no-decision against the Rockies last Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. He gave up two runs and four hits in five innings with four strikeouts and one walk.

Against the Padres, Urias has been dominant. He is 7-1 with a 2.03 ERA in 16 games (11 starts).

This will be the sixth postseason start and 23rd appearance of Urias’ career. He has gone 7-3 with a 3.52 ERA.

Urias has gone 6-3 with a 2.43 ERA in 14 starts at home this season. At night, he has a 14-4 record and 1.94 ERA in 22 starts. The Dodgers are 21-10 when Urias gets the ball.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Padres Batters Batting Average vs Julio Urias
Manny Machado .370
Josh Bell .333
Jose Azocar .333
Austin Nola .200
Brandon Drury .200
Jurickson Profar .125
Wil Myers .120
Jake Cronenworth .118
Juan Soto .056
Ha-Seong Kim .000
Trent Grisham .000
Luis Campusano .000
Eguy Rosario .000
Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Mike Clevinger
Hanser Alberto 1.000
Will Smith .500
Gavin Lux .500
Mookie Betts .467
Trea Turner .400
Trayce Thompson .400
Max Muncy .333
Chris Taylor .333
Kevin Pillar .286
Justin Turner .250
Freddie Freeman .143
Joey Gallo .083
Cody Bellinger .000
Austin Barnes .000

The Padres’ Manny Machado is a .370 career hitter against Urias, going 10 for 27 with four home runs. However, Juan Soto is 1 for 18 (.056) with his lone hit being a home run. Ha-Seong Kim is 0 for 9, though he has drawn six walks off the lefty.

The Dodgers’ Will Smith is 4 for 8 with two homers off Clevinger and Mookie Betts is 7 for 15 (.467) with a double and a triple. Conversely, Joey Gallo is 1 for 12 (.083) with six strikeouts.

Machado and Betts both have NL MVP odds of +10000.

Padres vs Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers were 14-5 against the Padres in the regular season, including winning eight of 10 at Chavez Ravine. Betts hit .361 (22 for 61) with 10 doubles and three home runs and Justin Turner batted .306 (15 for 49) with three doubles and six homers.

The Dodgers are confident left fielder Chris Taylor (neck stiffness) will be able to play in Game 1.

Outfielder Kevin Pillar is healthy enough to be added to the roster if the Dodgers desire. Though he has not played since June 1, Pillar is now deemed fully recovered from left shoulder surgery.

SD vs LAD Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
9/29/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 5-2
9/28/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 1-0
9/27/22 Padres Dodgers SD, 4-3
9/11/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 11-2
9/10/22 Padres Dodgers LAD, 8-2
9/9/22 Padres Dodgers SD, 5-4
9/4/22 Dodgers Padres LAD, 9-4
9/3/22 Dodgers Padres LAD, 12-1
9/2/22 Dodgers Padres SD, 7-1
8/7/22 Dodgers Padres LAD, 4-0

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

Urias has been all but unbeatable for nearly four months and has had great success against the Padres in his career. Despite the big odds, going with the left-hander and the Dodgers is the call in Game 1.

Pick: Dodgers ML (-225)

 

The post Padres vs Dodgers Game 1 Predictions & Odds appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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